We introduce a Heat Wave Forecast System (EHWP) useful for detecting incoming heat waves in Europe at a high-medium spatial-temporal resolution. Historical and forecast temperatures feed a heat wave detection algorithm whose outcomes on duration and intensity of incoming heat waves within the next 14 days. The model has been empirically validated with numerous official sources on the hottest European heat wave in 2017 ('Lucifer'). The EHWP is a novel tool for emergency alert warnings both for local and European scale.

A heat wave forecast system for Europe

Gobbi, Andrea;Alikadic, Azra;Furlanello, Cesare
2017

Abstract

We introduce a Heat Wave Forecast System (EHWP) useful for detecting incoming heat waves in Europe at a high-medium spatial-temporal resolution. Historical and forecast temperatures feed a heat wave detection algorithm whose outcomes on duration and intensity of incoming heat waves within the next 14 days. The model has been empirically validated with numerous official sources on the hottest European heat wave in 2017 ('Lucifer'). The EHWP is a novel tool for emergency alert warnings both for local and European scale.
978-1-5386-2715-0
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11582/313069
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